The crowd called it — USA won 4–1.
United States vs Peru 600 verified humans answered. Crowd overweight Peru, underweight Tie versus the market. Top pick aligned with the result.
How the crowd voted
What the crowd was thinking
The majority vision: United States control the match and take the result, the crowd's single most-backed outcome by a wide margin.
A sizeable minority saw Peru pulling off the result, a conviction running well above what the market was pricing for the visitors.
A small cluster envisioned neither side breaking through, though the crowd was far less convinced of this than the market suggested.
How well calibrated was the crowd?Brier score, conviction and full methodology0.19
0 is a perfect confident call, 0.25 a coin flip. Higher means the crowd leaned away from what happened.
The odds the crowd’s own split implied for its top pick. Shorter odds mean more conviction.
Ballots whose pick matched the result. Computed from the crowd’s own vote split — no betting market involved.
Crowd sentiment is shown only after a poll closes, never mid-vote. “Crowd called it” means the crowd’s top pick matched the result; it is not a claim the crowd is right in general. Aggregate data from World ID voters — a crowd view, not a prediction or advice.