The crowd called it — Union Santa Fe won 1–3.
Aldosivi vs Union Santa Fe: how does it end? 662 verified humans answered. Crowd above market on Union Santa Fe, below on the draw, and it landed that way.
How the crowd voted
Where the crowd split from the market
The crowd was more confident in Union Santa Fe than the betting price implied. That gap is the interesting part of this poll, and the crowd had it right.
What the crowd was thinking
Nearly half the crowd saw Union Santa Fe leaving with the points, making it the clear centre of gravity in the collective read.
Over a third of voters backed the home side to win, keeping Aldosivi a credible second strand in the crowd's vision of how this ends.
A smaller but real slice of the crowd saw neither side pulling clear, picturing a shared spoils finish that the market rated far more likely.
How well calibrated was the crowd?Brier score, conviction and full methodology0.44
0 is a perfect confident call, 0.25 a coin flip. Higher means the crowd leaned away from what happened.
The odds the crowd’s own split implied for its top pick. Shorter odds mean more conviction.
Ballots whose pick matched the result. Computed from the crowd’s own vote split — no betting market involved.
Crowd sentiment is shown only after a poll closes, never mid-vote. “Crowd called it” means the crowd’s top pick matched the result; it is not a claim the crowd is right in general. Aggregate data from World ID voters — a crowd view, not a prediction or advice.