The crowd called it — America won 1–2.
Juarez vs America: how does it end? 664 verified humans answered. Crowd sat well above market on América, and the result followed.
How the crowd voted
Where the crowd split from the market
The crowd was more confident in America than the betting price implied. That gap is the interesting part of this poll, and the crowd had it right.
What the crowd was thinking
Two thirds of the crowd saw América in control from the off, making this the overwhelming consensus of a tightly converged group.
A quarter of voters held firm for the home side, a minority view but one that matched the market's own Juarez price exactly.
A small fringe saw neither side pulling clear, the least-backed vision and the one furthest below the market's own draw price.
How well calibrated was the crowd?Brier score, conviction and full methodology0.18
0 is a perfect confident call, 0.25 a coin flip. Higher means the crowd leaned away from what happened.
The odds the crowd’s own split implied for its top pick. Shorter odds mean more conviction.
Ballots whose pick matched the result. Computed from the crowd’s own vote split — no betting market involved.
Crowd sentiment is shown only after a poll closes, never mid-vote. “Crowd called it” means the crowd’s top pick matched the result; it is not a claim the crowd is right in general. Aggregate data from World ID voters — a crowd view, not a prediction or advice.