The crowd called it — Monaco won 2–0.
Monaco vs Marseille: how does it end? 696 verified humans answered. Crowd leaned Monaco well above market price, with Tie and Marseille both underweighted vs the book. Monaco duly won.
How the crowd voted
Where the crowd split from the market
The crowd was more confident in Monaco than the betting price implied. That gap is the interesting part of this poll, and the crowd had it right.
What the crowd was thinking
The majority vision: Monaco controlling the tie at home and seeing it out, the crowd's single most-backed outcome by a clear margin.
A sizeable minority saw Marseille travelling to the Principality and leaving with the points, overturning home advantage.
The smallest cluster imagined neither side breaking the deadlock, a stalemate splitting the spoils on the Cote d'Azur.
How well calibrated was the crowd?Brier score, conviction and full methodology0.32
0 is a perfect confident call, 0.25 a coin flip. Higher means the crowd leaned away from what happened.
The odds the crowd’s own split implied for its top pick. Shorter odds mean more conviction.
Ballots whose pick matched the result. Computed from the crowd’s own vote split — no betting market involved.
Crowd sentiment is shown only after a poll closes, never mid-vote. “Crowd called it” means the crowd’s top pick matched the result; it is not a claim the crowd is right in general. Aggregate data from World ID voters — a crowd view, not a prediction or advice.