The crowd called it — Santos won 0–1.
Corinthians vs Santos: how does it end? 724 verified humans answered. Crowd on Santos at more than double the market rate, and the outcome followed.
How the crowd voted
Where the crowd split from the market
The crowd was more confident in Santos than the betting price implied. That gap is the interesting part of this poll, and the crowd had it right.
What the crowd was thinking
Nearly half the crowd saw Santos leaving with the points, a conviction that sat far above where the market had priced the visitors.
An almost identical share of the crowd saw Corinthians taking it at home, splitting the field into a near dead-heat between the two sides.
A small but firm minority held the draw, the only scenario both the crowd and the market discounted most heavily.
How well calibrated was the crowd?Brier score, conviction and full methodology0.52
0 is a perfect confident call, 0.25 a coin flip. Higher means the crowd leaned away from what happened.
The odds the crowd’s own split implied for its top pick. Shorter odds mean more conviction.
Ballots whose pick matched the result. Computed from the crowd’s own vote split — no betting market involved.
Crowd sentiment is shown only after a poll closes, never mid-vote. “Crowd called it” means the crowd’s top pick matched the result; it is not a claim the crowd is right in general. Aggregate data from World ID voters — a crowd view, not a prediction or advice.