The crowd called it — Argentina won 3–0.
Argentina vs Benin 589 verified humans answered. Crowd above the market on a Benin upset, below it on Argentina, a rare lean against the favourite.
How the crowd voted
What the crowd was thinking
An overwhelming consensus: the crowd saw Argentina as the clear and near-certain winner, clustering tightly around this single vision with little dissent.
A small but notable contrarian pocket: the crowd gave Benin a sliver of belief, sitting above the market's own slim allowance for an upset.
The thinnest fringe of the crowd held a stalemate possible, a marginal view that sat below even the market's modest allowance for a draw.
How well calibrated was the crowd?Brier score, conviction and full methodology0.02
0 is a perfect confident call, 0.25 a coin flip. Higher means the crowd leaned away from what happened.
The odds the crowd’s own split implied for its top pick. Shorter odds mean more conviction.
Ballots whose pick matched the result. Computed from the crowd’s own vote split — no betting market involved.
Crowd sentiment is shown only after a poll closes, never mid-vote. “Crowd called it” means the crowd’s top pick matched the result; it is not a claim the crowd is right in general. Aggregate data from World ID voters — a crowd view, not a prediction or advice.