The crowd backed Tigre. Tie won 0–0.
Tigre vs Barracas: how does it end? 668 verified humans answered. Crowd underweighted the draw sharply vs the market, and that was the outcome.
How the crowd voted
Where the crowd split from the market
The crowd was more confident in Tigre than the betting price implied. That gap is the interesting part of this poll, and it went against the result.
What the crowd was thinking
A majority of the crowd saw Tigre controlling the contest and taking the points at home, making this the dominant vision in the joint map.
Roughly three in ten voters pictured Barracas leaving with the win, a meaningful minority view that sat well above what the market implied.
Only a small slice of the crowd envisioned the sides cancelling each other out, placing the draw as the least favoured outcome in the collective picture.
How well calibrated was the crowd?Brier score, conviction and full methodology1.12
0 is a perfect confident call, 0.25 a coin flip. Higher means the crowd leaned away from what happened.
The odds the crowd’s own split implied for its top pick. Shorter odds mean more conviction.
Ballots whose pick matched the result. Computed from the crowd’s own vote split — no betting market involved.
Crowd sentiment is shown only after a poll closes, never mid-vote. “Crowd called it” means the crowd’s top pick matched the result; it is not a claim the crowd is right in general. Aggregate data from World ID voters — a crowd view, not a prediction or advice.