The crowd backed Instituto Cordoba. Tie won 0–0.
Atletico Tucuman vs Instituto: how does it end? 626 verified humans answered. Crowd well above market on Instituto Cordoba win, draw the surprise outcome for both.
How the crowd voted
Where the crowd split from the market
The crowd was more confident in Instituto Cordoba than the betting price implied. That gap is the interesting part of this poll, and it went against the result.
What the crowd was thinking
The crowd's dominant vision: Instituto Cordoba leaving Tucuman with the points, a conviction the market priced far more cautiously.
A strong home-win scenario backed by nearly four in ten voters, with the market aligning closely on this outcome alone.
The crowd's least-favoured vision, a stalemate in Tucuman, pushed to the margins while the market rated it nearly as likely as a home win.
How well calibrated was the crowd?Brier score, conviction and full methodology1.03
0 is a perfect confident call, 0.25 a coin flip. Higher means the crowd leaned away from what happened.
The odds the crowd’s own split implied for its top pick. Shorter odds mean more conviction.
Ballots whose pick matched the result. Computed from the crowd’s own vote split — no betting market involved.
Crowd sentiment is shown only after a poll closes, never mid-vote. “Crowd called it” means the crowd’s top pick matched the result; it is not a claim the crowd is right in general. Aggregate data from World ID voters — a crowd view, not a prediction or advice.