The crowd called it — Arsenal won 0–1.
Aston Villa vs Arsenal: how does it end? 711 verified humans answered. Crowd pushed Arsenal well above market, slashed the draw. And the result followed.
How the crowd voted
Where the crowd split from the market
The crowd was more confident in Arsenal than the betting price implied. That gap is the interesting part of this poll, and the crowd had it right.
What the crowd was thinking
A dominant crowd vision: Arsenal leave Villa Park with the points, the majority view by a wide margin, far outpacing what the market implied.
A minority but present belief that Villa find a way through at home, holding roughly in line with what the market assigned to the hosts.
The crowd largely dismissed the stalemate, assigning it far less weight than the market did, seeing little chance of the sides cancelling each other out.
How well calibrated was the crowd?Brier score, conviction and full methodology0.10
0 is a perfect confident call, 0.25 a coin flip. Higher means the crowd leaned away from what happened.
The odds the crowd’s own split implied for its top pick. Shorter odds mean more conviction.
Ballots whose pick matched the result. Computed from the crowd’s own vote split — no betting market involved.
Crowd sentiment is shown only after a poll closes, never mid-vote. “Crowd called it” means the crowd’s top pick matched the result; it is not a claim the crowd is right in general. Aggregate data from World ID voters — a crowd view, not a prediction or advice.