All resolved pollsResolved · 8 OCT 2026Crowd & market agreed
Ceará1
Criciúma0
The verdict

The crowd called it — Ceara won 1–0.

Ceará vs Criciúma 549 verified humans answered. Zero gap: crowd and market converged completely, Ceará the shared plurality call.

42%Crowd on Ceara
42%Market price
0Points of divergence

How the crowd voted

549 verified humans · one human, one vote
CearaWhat happened42%229 voters
Criciuma29%161 voters
Tie29%159 voters
Ceara won, so 42% of the crowd called it. The market had Ceara at 42%.
The market price is a yardstick, not a recommendation. The crowd’s read is sentiment, not a prediction or financial advice.

What the crowd was thinking

Scenario 1Came true
42%229 voters
Ceara

The crowd's plurality vision: Ceará controlling home advantage and taking the points, the single most-backed outcome in the pool.

Scenario 2
29%161 voters
Criciuma

Roughly three-in-ten voters pictured Criciúma silencing the home crowd and leaving with all three points.

Scenario 3
29%159 voters
Tie

An equal share of the crowd saw neither side breaking through, the spoils shared and both teams level at the final whistle.

How well calibrated was the crowd?Brier score, conviction and full methodology0.50
Brier score
0.50

0 is a perfect confident call, 0.25 a coin flip. Higher means the crowd leaned away from what happened.

Conviction
1-in-2

The odds the crowd’s own split implied for its top pick. Shorter odds mean more conviction.

Ballots correct
229 of 549

Ballots whose pick matched the result. Computed from the crowd’s own vote split — no betting market involved.

Crowd sentiment is shown only after a poll closes, never mid-vote. “Crowd called it” means the crowd’s top pick matched the result; it is not a claim the crowd is right in general. Aggregate data from World ID voters — a crowd view, not a prediction or advice.