The crowd called it — Boca Juniors won 1–0.
Boca Juniors vs Lanus: how does it end? 672 verified humans answered. Crowd ran far above the market on Boca, far below on a Tie. And the result landed on their side.
How the crowd voted
Where the crowd split from the market
The crowd was more confident in Boca Juniors than the betting price implied. That gap is the interesting part of this poll, and the crowd had it right.
What the crowd was thinking
The crowd's dominant vision: Boca controlling the contest and taking all three points at home, a conviction held by a clear majority of voters.
A minority picture of Lanus causing an upset, stealing the result away from the home side against the weight of collective expectation.
The smallest slice of the crowd saw neither side separating, with the points shared and both teams leaving without a decisive winner.
How well calibrated was the crowd?Brier score, conviction and full methodology0.09
0 is a perfect confident call, 0.25 a coin flip. Higher means the crowd leaned away from what happened.
The odds the crowd’s own split implied for its top pick. Shorter odds mean more conviction.
Ballots whose pick matched the result. Computed from the crowd’s own vote split — no betting market involved.
Crowd sentiment is shown only after a poll closes, never mid-vote. “Crowd called it” means the crowd’s top pick matched the result; it is not a claim the crowd is right in general. Aggregate data from World ID voters — a crowd view, not a prediction or advice.