The crowd backed CSyD Defensa y Justicia. Instituto AC Córdoba won 0–1.
Defensa y Justicia vs Instituto (Córdoba) 549 verified humans answered. Crowd ran well above market on Defensa y Justicia, a lean the result did not reward.
How the crowd voted
Where the crowd split from the market
The crowd was more confident in CSyD Defensa y Justicia than the betting price implied. That gap is the interesting part of this poll, and it went against the result.
What the crowd was thinking
The crowd's plurality vision: Defensa y Justicia controlling proceedings at home and seeing the match out as winners.
A strong minority picture: Instituto travelling to Buenos Aires and leaving with the three points against the home side.
The crowd's least-favoured scenario: both sides cancelling each other out and the points shared at full time.
How well calibrated was the crowd?Brier score, conviction and full methodology0.63
0 is a perfect confident call, 0.25 a coin flip. Higher means the crowd leaned away from what happened.
The odds the crowd’s own split implied for its top pick. Shorter odds mean more conviction.
Ballots whose pick matched the result. Computed from the crowd’s own vote split — no betting market involved.
Crowd sentiment is shown only after a poll closes, never mid-vote. “Crowd called it” means the crowd’s top pick matched the result; it is not a claim the crowd is right in general. Aggregate data from World ID voters — a crowd view, not a prediction or advice.