The crowd called it — Cagliari won 1–0.
Cagliari vs Lecce: how does it end? 706 verified humans answered. Crowd overweights Lecce, underweights the draw. The market and crowd split sharply on both.
How the crowd voted
What the crowd was thinking
Nearly half the crowd pictured the home side taking the points, a conviction that lands in perfect lockstep with the market's own read.
Roughly one in three voters saw Lecce leaving with the win, a far more bullish view on the visitors than the market is willing to price.
Only a thin slice of the crowd envisioned the points shared, a notably cooler read on a stalemate than the market assigns.
How well calibrated was the crowd?Brier score, conviction and full methodology0.39
0 is a perfect confident call, 0.25 a coin flip. Higher means the crowd leaned away from what happened.
The odds the crowd’s own split implied for its top pick. Shorter odds mean more conviction.
Ballots whose pick matched the result. Computed from the crowd’s own vote split — no betting market involved.
Crowd sentiment is shown only after a poll closes, never mid-vote. “Crowd called it” means the crowd’s top pick matched the result; it is not a claim the crowd is right in general. Aggregate data from World ID voters — a crowd view, not a prediction or advice.