The crowd backed Athletic Club Sjdr. It finished 2–2.
Athletic vs Londrina 554 verified humans answered. Crowd overweights Athletic, underweights the draw, and the draw is what arrived.
How the crowd voted
Where the crowd split from the market
The crowd was more confident in Athletic Club Sjdr than the betting price implied. That gap is the interesting part of this poll, and it went against the result.
What the crowd was thinking
A majority vision: Athletic in control at home, the away side kept at bay, the result going to the hosts with room to spare.
A minority read, shared by roughly one in five: neither side pulling clear, the points split, tension unresolved at the final whistle.
The road-trip scenario, backed by the same slim slice: Londrina travelling and leaving with all three points against the run of expectation.
How well calibrated was the crowd?Brier score, conviction and full methodology0.99
0 is a perfect confident call, 0.25 a coin flip. Higher means the crowd leaned away from what happened.
The odds the crowd’s own split implied for its top pick. Shorter odds mean more conviction.
Ballots whose pick matched the result. Computed from the crowd’s own vote split — no betting market involved.
Crowd sentiment is shown only after a poll closes, never mid-vote. “Crowd called it” means the crowd’s top pick matched the result; it is not a claim the crowd is right in general. Aggregate data from World ID voters — a crowd view, not a prediction or advice.