The crowd called it — Arsenal won 2–1.
Arsenal vs Chelsea: how does it end? 697 verified humans answered. Crowd ran well above the market on Chelsea, well below on Arsenal. Chelsea did not deliver.
How the crowd voted
Where the crowd split from the market
The crowd was less confident in Arsenal than the betting price implied. That gap is the interesting part of this poll, and the crowd had it right.
What the crowd was thinking
A bare majority of the crowd saw Arsenal controlling the contest and coming out on top, though with less certainty than the market implied.
A large minority backed Chelsea to cause an upset, a conviction running far hotter than the market suggested was warranted.
A small slice of the crowd envisioned neither side breaking the deadlock, a scenario the market rated more likely than the crowd did.
How well calibrated was the crowd?Brier score, conviction and full methodology0.40
0 is a perfect confident call, 0.25 a coin flip. Higher means the crowd leaned away from what happened.
The odds the crowd’s own split implied for its top pick. Shorter odds mean more conviction.
Ballots whose pick matched the result. Computed from the crowd’s own vote split — no betting market involved.
Crowd sentiment is shown only after a poll closes, never mid-vote. “Crowd called it” means the crowd’s top pick matched the result; it is not a claim the crowd is right in general. Aggregate data from World ID voters — a crowd view, not a prediction or advice.