The crowd backed PSG. Tie won 2–2.
Lille vs Paris Saint-Germain: how does it end? 717 verified humans answered. Crowd pushed PSG well above market price. But the Tie, underweighted by both, was the outcome.
How the crowd voted
Where the crowd split from the market
The crowd was more confident in PSG than the betting price implied. That gap is the interesting part of this poll, and it went against the result.
What the crowd was thinking
An overwhelming majority of the crowd saw PSG taking the win, converging with rare tightness on a single dominant outcome.
A small slice of the crowd held out for a Lille victory, swimming against the strong current of collective opinion.
A thin tail of voters foresaw the match ending level, a scenario the crowd largely set aside in favour of a decisive PSG result.
How well calibrated was the crowd?Brier score, conviction and full methodology1.46
0 is a perfect confident call, 0.25 a coin flip. Higher means the crowd leaned away from what happened.
The odds the crowd’s own split implied for its top pick. Shorter odds mean more conviction.
Ballots whose pick matched the result. Computed from the crowd’s own vote split — no betting market involved.
Crowd sentiment is shown only after a poll closes, never mid-vote. “Crowd called it” means the crowd’s top pick matched the result; it is not a claim the crowd is right in general. Aggregate data from World ID voters — a crowd view, not a prediction or advice.