The crowd backed Internacional de Bogota. Tie won 1–1.
Internacional de Bogota vs Deportivo Pasto: how does it end? 714 verified humans answered. Crowd on Internacional well above market price, draw the outcome both least expected.
How the crowd voted
Where the crowd split from the market
The crowd was more confident in Internacional de Bogota than the betting price implied. That gap is the interesting part of this poll, and it went against the result.
What the crowd was thinking
The crowd's dominant vision: Internacional controlling proceedings at home and taking all three points, a conviction far stronger than the market shared.
A meaningful minority saw Pasto leaving Bogota with the win, a road result the market rated only slightly more likely than the crowd did.
The crowd's least-favoured vision: a stalemate where neither side could separate themselves, a scenario the market also ranked at the bottom alongside a Pasto win.
How well calibrated was the crowd?Brier score, conviction and full methodology1.01
0 is a perfect confident call, 0.25 a coin flip. Higher means the crowd leaned away from what happened.
The odds the crowd’s own split implied for its top pick. Shorter odds mean more conviction.
Ballots whose pick matched the result. Computed from the crowd’s own vote split — no betting market involved.
Crowd sentiment is shown only after a poll closes, never mid-vote. “Crowd called it” means the crowd’s top pick matched the result; it is not a claim the crowd is right in general. Aggregate data from World ID voters — a crowd view, not a prediction or advice.