The crowd called it — Manchester United won 5–2.
Manchester United vs Ipswich Town: how does it end? 699 verified humans answered. Crowd ran well above market on United win, well below on draw and Ipswich, and the result followed.
How the crowd voted
Where the crowd split from the market
The crowd was more confident in Manchester United than the betting price implied. That gap is the interesting part of this poll, and the crowd had it right.
What the crowd was thinking
An overwhelming majority of the crowd saw United controlling the contest and taking the points, leaving almost no room for doubt.
A small but present slice of the crowd held out for an Ipswich upset, a minority view sitting well below even the market's modest estimate.
The crowd almost entirely dismissed a draw, pricing it as the least likely ending and far below the market's own cautious allowance for stalemate.
How well calibrated was the crowd?Brier score, conviction and full methodology0.03
0 is a perfect confident call, 0.25 a coin flip. Higher means the crowd leaned away from what happened.
The odds the crowd’s own split implied for its top pick. Shorter odds mean more conviction.
Ballots whose pick matched the result. Computed from the crowd’s own vote split — no betting market involved.
Crowd sentiment is shown only after a poll closes, never mid-vote. “Crowd called it” means the crowd’s top pick matched the result; it is not a claim the crowd is right in general. Aggregate data from World ID voters — a crowd view, not a prediction or advice.