The crowd called it — CA Boca Juniors won 1–3.
Vasco da Gama vs Boca Juniors 565 verified humans answered. Crowd ran well above market on Boca Juniors, well below on Vasco, and the result followed the crowd's lean.
How the crowd voted
Where the crowd split from the market
The crowd was more confident in CA Boca Juniors than the betting price implied. That gap is the interesting part of this poll, and the crowd had it right.
What the crowd was thinking
The crowd's dominant vision: Boca Juniors in control, brushing aside the home side in a result the market heavily discounted.
A significant minority saw Vasco turning home advantage into a win, the outcome the market rated most likely but the crowd did not.
A small slice of the crowd envisioned neither side breaking through, a stalemate the market priced at roughly double the crowd's confidence.
How well calibrated was the crowd?Brier score, conviction and full methodology0.31
0 is a perfect confident call, 0.25 a coin flip. Higher means the crowd leaned away from what happened.
The odds the crowd’s own split implied for its top pick. Shorter odds mean more conviction.
Ballots whose pick matched the result. Computed from the crowd’s own vote split — no betting market involved.
Crowd sentiment is shown only after a poll closes, never mid-vote. “Crowd called it” means the crowd’s top pick matched the result; it is not a claim the crowd is right in general. Aggregate data from World ID voters — a crowd view, not a prediction or advice.