The crowd backed Cienciano. It finished 1–1.
Cienciano del Cusco vs Los Chankas 603 verified humans answered. Crowd heavily underweights Cienciano vs market, overweights Los Chankas. Draw ultimately split both reads.
How the crowd voted
Where the crowd split from the market
The crowd was less confident in Cienciano than the betting price implied. That gap is the interesting part of this poll, and it went against the result.
What the crowd was thinking
The crowd's plurality vision: Cienciano control the match at home and take all three points, validating the market's direction if not its confidence.
A sizeable minority saw Los Chankas pulling off an away win, a read far bolder than the market was willing to price.
The smallest slice of the crowd pictured neither side breaking through, the points shared and both camps left without a decisive statement.
How well calibrated was the crowd?Brier score, conviction and full methodology0.97
0 is a perfect confident call, 0.25 a coin flip. Higher means the crowd leaned away from what happened.
The odds the crowd’s own split implied for its top pick. Shorter odds mean more conviction.
Ballots whose pick matched the result. Computed from the crowd’s own vote split — no betting market involved.
Crowd sentiment is shown only after a poll closes, never mid-vote. “Crowd called it” means the crowd’s top pick matched the result; it is not a claim the crowd is right in general. Aggregate data from World ID voters — a crowd view, not a prediction or advice.