The crowd called it — Japan won 2–1.
Japan vs Venezuela 607 verified humans answered. Crowd well below market on the Tie, slightly above on Japan. The draw was the real divergence point.
How the crowd voted
What the crowd was thinking
The dominant crowd vision: Japan in control, a decisive home-nation favourite delivering the result most voters locked in from the start.
A contrarian pocket of the crowd saw Venezuela pulling off the upset, backing the underdog against the weight of collective opinion.
A small slice of the crowd pictured neither side breaking through, a stalemate scenario the crowd rated far less likely than the market did.
How well calibrated was the crowd?Brier score, conviction and full methodology0.11
0 is a perfect confident call, 0.25 a coin flip. Higher means the crowd leaned away from what happened.
The odds the crowd’s own split implied for its top pick. Shorter odds mean more conviction.
Ballots whose pick matched the result. Computed from the crowd’s own vote split — no betting market involved.
Crowd sentiment is shown only after a poll closes, never mid-vote. “Crowd called it” means the crowd’s top pick matched the result; it is not a claim the crowd is right in general. Aggregate data from World ID voters — a crowd view, not a prediction or advice.