The crowd called it — Sao Paulo won 2–1.
São Paulo vs Bragantino: how does it end? 696 verified humans answered. Crowd piled into São Paulo win at more than double the market's conviction, and it landed.
How the crowd voted
Where the crowd split from the market
The crowd was more confident in Sao Paulo than the betting price implied. That gap is the interesting part of this poll, and the crowd had it right.
What the crowd was thinking
The crowd's dominant vision: São Paulo in control, taking the points at home in a result the majority of voters converged on with strong collective conviction.
A minority crowd vision of Bragantino causing an upset on the road, flipping the home advantage and leaving São Paulo empty-handed.
The smallest crowd camp saw neither side pulling clear, with the spoils shared and the contest ending level despite the home crowd's backing.
How well calibrated was the crowd?Brier score, conviction and full methodology0.18
0 is a perfect confident call, 0.25 a coin flip. Higher means the crowd leaned away from what happened.
The odds the crowd’s own split implied for its top pick. Shorter odds mean more conviction.
Ballots whose pick matched the result. Computed from the crowd’s own vote split — no betting market involved.
Crowd sentiment is shown only after a poll closes, never mid-vote. “Crowd called it” means the crowd’s top pick matched the result; it is not a claim the crowd is right in general. Aggregate data from World ID voters — a crowd view, not a prediction or advice.