The crowd backed Celtic. Rangers won 0–1.
Celtic vs Rangers 594 verified humans answered. Crowd on Celtic sits well above market, Rangers win lands as the field outcome for both sides.
How the crowd voted
Where the crowd split from the market
The crowd was more confident in Celtic than the betting price implied. That gap is the interesting part of this poll, and it went against the result.
What the crowd was thinking
The crowd's dominant vision: Celtic controlling the derby on home turf, converting that pressure into a result the majority of voters felt was the likeliest outcome.
A minority read, but a real one: Rangers holding firm, frustrating Celtic's rhythm and snatching a result that both the crowd and the market treated as the less likely path.
The quietest scenario in the room: a tense, deadlocked derby where neither side could find the decisive moment, leaving the spoils shared.
How well calibrated was the crowd?Brier score, conviction and full methodology0.90
0 is a perfect confident call, 0.25 a coin flip. Higher means the crowd leaned away from what happened.
The odds the crowd’s own split implied for its top pick. Shorter odds mean more conviction.
Ballots whose pick matched the result. Computed from the crowd’s own vote split — no betting market involved.
Crowd sentiment is shown only after a poll closes, never mid-vote. “Crowd called it” means the crowd’s top pick matched the result; it is not a claim the crowd is right in general. Aggregate data from World ID voters — a crowd view, not a prediction or advice.