All resolved pollsResolved · 30 AUG 2026Crowd & market agreed
ChelseaWon · Crowd had 77%4
Brighton and Hove Albion3
The verdict

The crowd called it — Chelsea won 4–3.

Chelsea vs Brighton: how does it end? 702 verified humans answered. Crowd leaned Chelsea far harder than the market, Brighton left well below its market price.

77%Crowd on Chelsea
48%Market price
+29Points of divergence

How the crowd voted

702 verified humans · one human, one vote
ChelseaWhat happened77%543 voters
Brighton14%97 voters
Tie9%62 voters
Chelsea won, so 77% of the crowd called it. The market had Chelsea at 48%.

Where the crowd split from the market

Market depth: deep
Market
48%
77%
Crowd
+29 ppts

The crowd was more confident in Chelsea than the betting price implied. That gap is the interesting part of this poll, and the crowd had it right.

The market price is a yardstick, not a recommendation. The crowd’s read is sentiment, not a prediction or financial advice.

What the crowd was thinking

Scenario 1Came true
77%543 voters
Chelsea

A dominant crowd conviction: most voters saw Chelsea controlling the outcome and taking all three points at Stamford Bridge.

Scenario 2
14%97 voters
Brighton

A small but firm minority held that Brighton would travel well and leave with the win, well below what the market implied.

Scenario 3
9%62 voters
Tie

The fewest voters saw the sides cancelling each other out, a share the crowd placed far below the market's own draw estimate.

How well calibrated was the crowd?Brier score, conviction and full methodology0.08
Brier score
0.08

0 is a perfect confident call, 0.25 a coin flip. Higher means the crowd leaned away from what happened.

Conviction
1-in-1

The odds the crowd’s own split implied for its top pick. Shorter odds mean more conviction.

Ballots correct
543 of 702

Ballots whose pick matched the result. Computed from the crowd’s own vote split — no betting market involved.

Crowd sentiment is shown only after a poll closes, never mid-vote. “Crowd called it” means the crowd’s top pick matched the result; it is not a claim the crowd is right in general. Aggregate data from World ID voters — a crowd view, not a prediction or advice.