The crowd backed Independiente Avellaneda. Tie won 0–0.
Independiente vs Independiente Rivadavia: how does it end? 633 verified humans answered. Crowd pushed Independiente Avellaneda far above market, while slashing the draw, which is what actually landed.
How the crowd voted
Where the crowd split from the market
The crowd was more confident in Independiente Avellaneda than the betting price implied. That gap is the interesting part of this poll, and it went against the result.
What the crowd was thinking
The dominant crowd vision: Independiente Avellaneda taking the points at home, with nearly two-thirds of voters converging on a home win as the clear, confident collective call.
A sizeable minority saw Rivadavia causing an upset on the road, holding firm as the second-most backed outcome but well behind the home-win consensus.
The crowd's least-favoured vision: a stalemate, with only a small fraction expecting the sides to cancel each other out and share the points.
How well calibrated was the crowd?Brier score, conviction and full methodology1.30
0 is a perfect confident call, 0.25 a coin flip. Higher means the crowd leaned away from what happened.
The odds the crowd’s own split implied for its top pick. Shorter odds mean more conviction.
Ballots whose pick matched the result. Computed from the crowd’s own vote split — no betting market involved.
Crowd sentiment is shown only after a poll closes, never mid-vote. “Crowd called it” means the crowd’s top pick matched the result; it is not a claim the crowd is right in general. Aggregate data from World ID voters — a crowd view, not a prediction or advice.