The crowd backed Argentinos Juniors. Tie won 1–1.
Lanus vs Argentinos Juniors: how does it end? 702 verified humans answered. Crowd piled on Argentinos Juniors at nearly double the market price, but the draw landed instead.
How the crowd voted
Where the crowd split from the market
The crowd was more confident in Argentinos Juniors than the betting price implied. That gap is the interesting part of this poll, and it went against the result.
What the crowd was thinking
The crowd's dominant vision: Argentinos Juniors leaving Lanus with the win, backed by a clear majority conviction that the visitors would prevail.
A sizable minority saw Lanus taking home victory on their own turf, holding the home-side faith against the crowd's broader lean.
A small slice of the crowd foresaw neither side breaking through, picturing a stalemate that most voters considered the least likely ending.
How well calibrated was the crowd?Brier score, conviction and full methodology1.20
0 is a perfect confident call, 0.25 a coin flip. Higher means the crowd leaned away from what happened.
The odds the crowd’s own split implied for its top pick. Shorter odds mean more conviction.
Ballots whose pick matched the result. Computed from the crowd’s own vote split — no betting market involved.
Crowd sentiment is shown only after a poll closes, never mid-vote. “Crowd called it” means the crowd’s top pick matched the result; it is not a claim the crowd is right in general. Aggregate data from World ID voters — a crowd view, not a prediction or advice.