The crowd backed Real Sociedad. Tie won 0–0.
Real Sociedad vs Celta Vigo: how does it end? 704 verified humans answered. Crowd ran well above market on Real Sociedad win, leaving the Tie sharply underweighted. The draw landed.
How the crowd voted
Where the crowd split from the market
The crowd was more confident in Real Sociedad than the betting price implied. That gap is the interesting part of this poll, and it went against the result.
What the crowd was thinking
The crowd's dominant vision: Real Sociedad controlling proceedings at home and taking the points, a conviction held far more firmly than the market priced.
A minority of voters saw Celta Vigo causing an upset on the road, though the crowd placed this well below even the market's modest away-win price.
The crowd's least-favoured vision: a stalemate where neither side could separate themselves, a scenario the collective largely set aside despite the market rating it seriously.
How well calibrated was the crowd?Brier score, conviction and full methodology1.24
0 is a perfect confident call, 0.25 a coin flip. Higher means the crowd leaned away from what happened.
The odds the crowd’s own split implied for its top pick. Shorter odds mean more conviction.
Ballots whose pick matched the result. Computed from the crowd’s own vote split — no betting market involved.
Crowd sentiment is shown only after a poll closes, never mid-vote. “Crowd called it” means the crowd’s top pick matched the result; it is not a claim the crowd is right in general. Aggregate data from World ID voters — a crowd view, not a prediction or advice.