The crowd called it — Brazil won 2–4.
Australia vs Brazil 612 verified humans answered. Crowd leans harder on Brazil than the market does, while Tie is the clearest underweight.
How the crowd voted
Where the crowd split from the market
The crowd was more confident in Brazil than the betting price implied. That gap is the interesting part of this poll, and the crowd had it right.
What the crowd was thinking
The crowd's dominant vision: Brazil in control from the off, with the overwhelming share of voters converging on a clear Brazilian result.
A small but firm minority picture: Australia causing an upset, holding their own and taking the points against the South American side.
An equally slim slice of the crowd imagined neither side pulling clear, the match ending level with honours shared.
How well calibrated was the crowd?Brier score, conviction and full methodology0.08
0 is a perfect confident call, 0.25 a coin flip. Higher means the crowd leaned away from what happened.
The odds the crowd’s own split implied for its top pick. Shorter odds mean more conviction.
Ballots whose pick matched the result. Computed from the crowd’s own vote split — no betting market involved.
Crowd sentiment is shown only after a poll closes, never mid-vote. “Crowd called it” means the crowd’s top pick matched the result; it is not a claim the crowd is right in general. Aggregate data from World ID voters — a crowd view, not a prediction or advice.