The crowd backed Boca Juniors. It finished 1–1.
São Paulo vs Boca Juniors 608 verified humans answered. Crowd on Boca far above market price. The draw neither side favoured settled it.
How the crowd voted
Where the crowd split from the market
The crowd was more confident in Boca Juniors than the betting price implied. That gap is the interesting part of this poll, and it went against the result.
What the crowd was thinking
Nearly half the crowd saw Boca Juniors controlling the tie and leaving with the win, making this the dominant vision across the joint map.
A strong secondary bloc pictured Sao Paulo as the home side asserting themselves and taking the three points on their own turf.
A small but distinct slice of the crowd foresaw neither side breaking through, with the points shared and the contest left unresolved.
How well calibrated was the crowd?Brier score, conviction and full methodology1.14
0 is a perfect confident call, 0.25 a coin flip. Higher means the crowd leaned away from what happened.
The odds the crowd’s own split implied for its top pick. Shorter odds mean more conviction.
Ballots whose pick matched the result. Computed from the crowd’s own vote split — no betting market involved.
Crowd sentiment is shown only after a poll closes, never mid-vote. “Crowd called it” means the crowd’s top pick matched the result; it is not a claim the crowd is right in general. Aggregate data from World ID voters — a crowd view, not a prediction or advice.