The crowd backed Brighton. Tie won 1–1.
Brighton vs Leeds United: how does it end? 646 verified humans answered. Crowd underweights Brighton, overweights Leeds vs market, draw lands for both.
How the crowd voted
Where the crowd split from the market
The crowd was less confident in Brighton than the betting price implied. That gap is the interesting part of this poll, and it went against the result.
What the crowd was thinking
The crowd's plurality vision: Brighton controlling proceedings at home and converting enough to take all three points from Leeds.
A sizeable crowd bloc saw Leeds arriving as genuine threats, capable of leaving the Amex with a win against the run of market expectation.
The smallest crowd camp pictured a stalemate, honours shared, neither side able to force a decisive advantage over ninety minutes.
How well calibrated was the crowd?Brier score, conviction and full methodology1.01
0 is a perfect confident call, 0.25 a coin flip. Higher means the crowd leaned away from what happened.
The odds the crowd’s own split implied for its top pick. Shorter odds mean more conviction.
Ballots whose pick matched the result. Computed from the crowd’s own vote split — no betting market involved.
Crowd sentiment is shown only after a poll closes, never mid-vote. “Crowd called it” means the crowd’s top pick matched the result; it is not a claim the crowd is right in general. Aggregate data from World ID voters — a crowd view, not a prediction or advice.