The crowd called it — Barcelona won 2–0.
Barcelona vs Athletic Bilbao: how does it end? 724 verified humans answered. Crowd ran well above market on Barcelona, well below on Tie. The read aligned with the result.
How the crowd voted
Where the crowd split from the market
The crowd was more confident in Barcelona than the betting price implied. That gap is the interesting part of this poll, and the crowd had it right.
What the crowd was thinking
The crowd's dominant vision: Barcelona in control from the off, the result never seriously in doubt, with the vast majority of voters converging on this single outcome.
A fringe vision held by a small slice of the crowd: Athletic Bilbao pulling off an upset, defying the weight of collective expectation stacked firmly against them.
The crowd's least-favoured vision: a stalemate where neither side could separate themselves, a scenario the crowd dismissed far more firmly than the market did.
How well calibrated was the crowd?Brier score, conviction and full methodology0.03
0 is a perfect confident call, 0.25 a coin flip. Higher means the crowd leaned away from what happened.
The odds the crowd’s own split implied for its top pick. Shorter odds mean more conviction.
Ballots whose pick matched the result. Computed from the crowd’s own vote split — no betting market involved.
Crowd sentiment is shown only after a poll closes, never mid-vote. “Crowd called it” means the crowd’s top pick matched the result; it is not a claim the crowd is right in general. Aggregate data from World ID voters — a crowd view, not a prediction or advice.