The crowd called it — Crystal Palace won 2–3.
Fulham vs Crystal Palace: how does it end? 652 verified humans answered. Crowd sat 15 points above market on Crystal Palace, well clear of a draw the market rated far higher.
How the crowd voted
Where the crowd split from the market
The crowd was more confident in Crystal Palace than the betting price implied. That gap is the interesting part of this poll, and the crowd had it right.
What the crowd was thinking
The crowd's plurality vision: Crystal Palace leave Craven Cottage with the points, the away side prevailing in a match the market rated as far more open.
A large share of the crowd saw Fulham as the home force to back, broadly in line with where the market stood on that outcome.
A small but present crowd faction saw the sides cancelling each other out, though the crowd as a whole was far less convinced of a draw than the market implied.
How well calibrated was the crowd?Brier score, conviction and full methodology0.49
0 is a perfect confident call, 0.25 a coin flip. Higher means the crowd leaned away from what happened.
The odds the crowd’s own split implied for its top pick. Shorter odds mean more conviction.
Ballots whose pick matched the result. Computed from the crowd’s own vote split — no betting market involved.
Crowd sentiment is shown only after a poll closes, never mid-vote. “Crowd called it” means the crowd’s top pick matched the result; it is not a claim the crowd is right in general. Aggregate data from World ID voters — a crowd view, not a prediction or advice.