All resolved pollsResolved · 3 SEPT 2026Crowd & market agreed
ToulouseCrowd had 41%0
Lille OSC1
The verdict

The crowd called it — Lille won 0–1.

Toulouse vs Lille: how does it end? 707 verified humans answered. Crowd crushed the draw vs market, splitting that weight between both teams to win.

46%Crowd on Lille
45%Market price
+1Points of divergence

How the crowd voted

707 verified humans · one human, one vote
LilleWhat happened46%328 voters
Toulouse41%290 voters
Tie13%89 voters
Lille won, so 46% of the crowd called it. The market had Lille at 45%.
The market price is a yardstick, not a recommendation. The crowd’s read is sentiment, not a prediction or financial advice.

What the crowd was thinking

Scenario 1Came true
46%328 voters
Lille

The crowd's plurality vision: Lille travelling to Toulouse and leaving with the points, the away side controlling the contest.

Scenario 2
41%290 voters
Toulouse

A strong minority saw Toulouse turning home advantage into three points, backing the hosts to overcome Lille at the Stadium Municipal.

Scenario 3
13%89 voters
Tie

A small slice of the crowd foresaw neither side breaking the deadlock, the points shared in a low-conviction stalemate.

How well calibrated was the crowd?Brier score, conviction and full methodology0.48
Brier score
0.48

0 is a perfect confident call, 0.25 a coin flip. Higher means the crowd leaned away from what happened.

Conviction
1-in-2

The odds the crowd’s own split implied for its top pick. Shorter odds mean more conviction.

Ballots correct
328 of 707

Ballots whose pick matched the result. Computed from the crowd’s own vote split — no betting market involved.

Crowd sentiment is shown only after a poll closes, never mid-vote. “Crowd called it” means the crowd’s top pick matched the result; it is not a claim the crowd is right in general. Aggregate data from World ID voters — a crowd view, not a prediction or advice.