The crowd called it — Independiente Santa Fe won 2–1.
Independiente Santa Fe vs Jaguares de Córdoba 559 verified humans answered. Crowd sits 13 points above market on Santa Fe, the widest gap, and it aligned with the result.
How the crowd voted
Where the crowd split from the market
The crowd was more confident in Independiente Santa Fe than the betting price implied. That gap is the interesting part of this poll, and the crowd had it right.
What the crowd was thinking
The crowd's dominant vision: Santa Fe in control at home, commanding a clear majority of collective belief with little ambiguity.
A minority but firm contingent saw Jaguares pulling off the away result, holding a steady share of the crowd's collective map.
The smallest slice of the crowd pictured stalemate, a scenario the market rated far more likely than the verified voters did.
How well calibrated was the crowd?Brier score, conviction and full methodology0.22
0 is a perfect confident call, 0.25 a coin flip. Higher means the crowd leaned away from what happened.
The odds the crowd’s own split implied for its top pick. Shorter odds mean more conviction.
Ballots whose pick matched the result. Computed from the crowd’s own vote split — no betting market involved.
Crowd sentiment is shown only after a poll closes, never mid-vote. “Crowd called it” means the crowd’s top pick matched the result; it is not a claim the crowd is right in general. Aggregate data from World ID voters — a crowd view, not a prediction or advice.