Palmeiras vs Santos: how does it end? 722 verified humans answered. Crowd well below market on Palmeiras, well above on Santos. Tie rendered both reads moot.
The crowd was less confident in Palmeiras than the betting price implied. That gap is the interesting part of this poll, and the crowd had it right.
The crowd's plurality vision: Palmeiras in control, taking the win. The most common call, though held with less conviction than the market assigned it.
A striking counter-narrative: Santos pulling off the result, backed by far more of the crowd than the market thought warranted.
The smallest slice of the crowd saw neither side breaking through. A stalemate that the market and the crowd both treated as the least likely ending.
0 is a perfect confident call, 0.25 a coin flip. Higher means the crowd leaned away from what happened.
The odds the crowd’s own split implied for its top pick. Shorter odds mean more conviction.
Ballots whose pick matched the result. Computed from the crowd’s own vote split — no betting market involved.
Crowd sentiment is shown only after a poll closes, never mid-vote. “Crowd called it” means the crowd’s top pick matched the result; it is not a claim the crowd is right in general. Aggregate data from World ID voters — a crowd view, not a prediction or advice.