The crowd backed Gremio Novorizontino. It finished 0–0.
Novorizontino vs São Bernardo: Brasileirão Série B 608 verified humans answered. Crowd sharply underweighted Novorizontino relative to market, and the draw proved both wrong.
How the crowd voted
Where the crowd split from the market
The crowd was less confident in Gremio Novorizontino than the betting price implied. That gap is the interesting part of this poll, and it went against the result.
What the crowd was thinking
The crowd's narrow plurality saw the home side edging through, though with far less certainty than the market suggested and São Bernardo breathing close behind.
A large share of the crowd envisioned São Bernardo pulling off a result the market barely entertained, making this the crowd's most striking departure from the prevailing price.
A fifth of the crowd saw neither side breaking through, a quiet but notable read that the market priced almost identically and which ultimately matched the scoreline.
How well calibrated was the crowd?Brier score, conviction and full methodology0.95
0 is a perfect confident call, 0.25 a coin flip. Higher means the crowd leaned away from what happened.
The odds the crowd’s own split implied for its top pick. Shorter odds mean more conviction.
Ballots whose pick matched the result. Computed from the crowd’s own vote split — no betting market involved.
Crowd sentiment is shown only after a poll closes, never mid-vote. “Crowd called it” means the crowd’s top pick matched the result; it is not a claim the crowd is right in general. Aggregate data from World ID voters — a crowd view, not a prediction or advice.