The crowd backed Independiente Santa Fe. Llaneros FC won 1–0.
Llaneros FC vs Independiente Santa Fe 537 verified humans answered. Crowd well above market on Santa Fe win, a lean the result did not support.
How the crowd voted
Where the crowd split from the market
The crowd was more confident in Independiente Santa Fe than the betting price implied. That gap is the interesting part of this poll, and it went against the result.
What the crowd was thinking
A clear majority of the crowd envisioned Santa Fe controlling the contest and coming away with the win, far outpacing what the market implied.
A quarter of the crowd held a contrarian vision of the home side pulling off an upset, closer to but still below the market's own modest assessment.
The smallest share of the crowd pictured neither side breaking the deadlock, a stalemate scenario the market rated considerably more likely than voters did.
How well calibrated was the crowd?Brier score, conviction and full methodology0.93
0 is a perfect confident call, 0.25 a coin flip. Higher means the crowd leaned away from what happened.
The odds the crowd’s own split implied for its top pick. Shorter odds mean more conviction.
Ballots whose pick matched the result. Computed from the crowd’s own vote split — no betting market involved.
Crowd sentiment is shown only after a poll closes, never mid-vote. “Crowd called it” means the crowd’s top pick matched the result; it is not a claim the crowd is right in general. Aggregate data from World ID voters — a crowd view, not a prediction or advice.