The crowd called it — Manchester City won 1–0.
Manchester City vs Coventry City: how does it end? 653 verified humans answered. Crowd above market on Manchester City, well below on Tie, both reads consistent with the outcome.
How the crowd voted
Where the crowd split from the market
The crowd was more confident in Manchester City than the betting price implied. That gap is the interesting part of this poll, and the crowd had it right.
What the crowd was thinking
An overwhelming share of the crowd saw City controlling the tie at home, leaving almost no room for doubt or deviation.
A small but present slice of the crowd held a conviction that Coventry could pull off a significant upset on the road.
The thinnest slice of the crowd imagined the sides cancelling each other out, a scenario the crowd treated as the least plausible of the three.
How well calibrated was the crowd?Brier score, conviction and full methodology0.02
0 is a perfect confident call, 0.25 a coin flip. Higher means the crowd leaned away from what happened.
The odds the crowd’s own split implied for its top pick. Shorter odds mean more conviction.
Ballots whose pick matched the result. Computed from the crowd’s own vote split — no betting market involved.
Crowd sentiment is shown only after a poll closes, never mid-vote. “Crowd called it” means the crowd’s top pick matched the result; it is not a claim the crowd is right in general. Aggregate data from World ID voters — a crowd view, not a prediction or advice.