The crowd backed Atletico Mineiro. Tie won 0–0.
Internacional vs Atletico Mineiro: how does it end? 631 verified humans answered. Crowd piled into Atletico Mineiro at nearly double the market price, draw proved both sides wrong.
How the crowd voted
Where the crowd split from the market
The crowd was more confident in Atletico Mineiro than the betting price implied. That gap is the interesting part of this poll, and it went against the result.
What the crowd was thinking
The crowd's dominant vision: Atletico Mineiro leaving Porto Alegre with the points, a conviction held by a clear majority of verified voters.
A sizeable minority saw Internacional as the home side turning market favouritism into a winning result on their own ground.
The smallest slice of the crowd envisioned a stalemate, a low-conviction fringe call that both the crowd and the market largely set aside.
How well calibrated was the crowd?Brier score, conviction and full methodology1.29
0 is a perfect confident call, 0.25 a coin flip. Higher means the crowd leaned away from what happened.
The odds the crowd’s own split implied for its top pick. Shorter odds mean more conviction.
Ballots whose pick matched the result. Computed from the crowd’s own vote split — no betting market involved.
Crowd sentiment is shown only after a poll closes, never mid-vote. “Crowd called it” means the crowd’s top pick matched the result; it is not a claim the crowd is right in general. Aggregate data from World ID voters — a crowd view, not a prediction or advice.