Bodø/Glimt vs NEC: how does it end? 696 verified humans answered. Crowd well below market on the home side, well above on NEC. The gap that mattered most when the upset landed.
The crowd was less confident in Bodø/Glimt than the betting price implied. That gap is the interesting part of this poll, and it went against the result.
The crowd's plurality vision: Bodø/Glimt controlling proceedings at home and seeing the match out as winners on their own turf.
A substantial minority saw NEC leaving Norway with the points, rating the visitors' chances far higher than the market was willing to price.
Roughly one in five voters pictured neither side breaking the deadlock, the spoils shared after a closely contested ninety minutes.
0 is a perfect confident call, 0.25 a coin flip. Higher means the crowd leaned away from what happened.
The odds the crowd’s own split implied for its top pick. Shorter odds mean more conviction.
Ballots whose pick matched the result. Computed from the crowd’s own vote split — no betting market involved.
Crowd sentiment is shown only after a poll closes, never mid-vote. “Crowd called it” means the crowd’s top pick matched the result; it is not a claim the crowd is right in general. Aggregate data from World ID voters — a crowd view, not a prediction or advice.