The crowd called it — Manchester City won 1–4.
Crystal Palace vs Manchester City: how does it end? 721 verified humans answered. Crowd leaned hard above the market on Man City, and the result landed there.
How the crowd voted
Where the crowd split from the market
The crowd was more confident in Manchester City than the betting price implied. That gap is the interesting part of this poll, and the crowd had it right.
What the crowd was thinking
The dominant crowd vision: Manchester City in control from the off, the away side imposing their quality and leaving Crystal Palace with little answer.
A minority crowd vision: Crystal Palace finding a way at home, disrupting City's rhythm and turning Selhurst Park into a fortress.
The smallest crowd vision: neither side pulling clear, the match grinding to a stalemate with honours even at the final whistle.
How well calibrated was the crowd?Brier score, conviction and full methodology0.05
0 is a perfect confident call, 0.25 a coin flip. Higher means the crowd leaned away from what happened.
The odds the crowd’s own split implied for its top pick. Shorter odds mean more conviction.
Ballots whose pick matched the result. Computed from the crowd’s own vote split — no betting market involved.
Crowd sentiment is shown only after a poll closes, never mid-vote. “Crowd called it” means the crowd’s top pick matched the result; it is not a claim the crowd is right in general. Aggregate data from World ID voters — a crowd view, not a prediction or advice.