All resolved pollsResolved · 28 AUG 2026Crowd & market agreed
Bayern MunichWon · Crowd had 82%5
StuttgartCrowd had 11%1
The verdict

The crowd called it — Bayern Munich won 5–1.

Bayern Munich vs Stuttgart: how does it end? 733 verified humans answered. Crowd above market on Bayern, well clear of the field. And the result followed.

82%Crowd on Bayern Munich
76%Market price
+6Points of divergence

How the crowd voted

733 verified humans · one human, one vote
Bayern MunichWhat happened82%599 voters
Stuttgart11%83 voters
Tie7%51 voters
Bayern Munich won, so 82% of the crowd called it. The market had Bayern Munich at 76%.

Where the crowd split from the market

Market depth: deep
Market
76%
82%
Crowd
+6 ppts

The crowd was more confident in Bayern Munich than the betting price implied. That gap is the interesting part of this poll, and the crowd had it right.

The market price is a yardstick, not a recommendation. The crowd’s read is sentiment, not a prediction or financial advice.

What the crowd was thinking

Scenario 1Came true
82%599 voters
Bayern Munich

The crowd's dominant vision: Bayern in control from the off, leaving Stuttgart with no route back and the result never seriously in doubt.

Scenario 2
11%83 voters
Stuttgart

A small but real slice of the crowd saw Stuttgart pulling off the upset, backing the visitors to silence the home crowd and take the points.

Scenario 3
7%51 voters
Tie

The thinnest slice of the crowd imagined a stalemate, with neither side able to land the decisive blow across ninety minutes.

How well calibrated was the crowd?Brier score, conviction and full methodology0.05
Brier score
0.05

0 is a perfect confident call, 0.25 a coin flip. Higher means the crowd leaned away from what happened.

Conviction
1-in-1

The odds the crowd’s own split implied for its top pick. Shorter odds mean more conviction.

Ballots correct
599 of 733

Ballots whose pick matched the result. Computed from the crowd’s own vote split — no betting market involved.

Crowd sentiment is shown only after a poll closes, never mid-vote. “Crowd called it” means the crowd’s top pick matched the result; it is not a claim the crowd is right in general. Aggregate data from World ID voters — a crowd view, not a prediction or advice.