The crowd backed Villarreal. Alaves won 1–0.
Alavés vs Villarreal: how does it end? 712 verified humans answered. Crowd ran 29 points above market on Villarreal, Alaves upset left both reads behind.
How the crowd voted
Where the crowd split from the market
The crowd was more confident in Villarreal than the betting price implied. That gap is the interesting part of this poll, and it went against the result.
What the crowd was thinking
The crowd's dominant vision: Villarreal controlling the contest and taking the points, a conviction held by a commanding share of voters.
A smaller cluster saw neither side pulling clear, with the match ending level and the points shared.
The minority view: Alaves defying expectations at home and claiming a result few in the crowd or the market anticipated.
How well calibrated was the crowd?Brier score, conviction and full methodology1.26
0 is a perfect confident call, 0.25 a coin flip. Higher means the crowd leaned away from what happened.
The odds the crowd’s own split implied for its top pick. Shorter odds mean more conviction.
Ballots whose pick matched the result. Computed from the crowd’s own vote split — no betting market involved.
Crowd sentiment is shown only after a poll closes, never mid-vote. “Crowd called it” means the crowd’s top pick matched the result; it is not a claim the crowd is right in general. Aggregate data from World ID voters — a crowd view, not a prediction or advice.