The crowd backed Atlético Nacional. It finished 1–1.
Atlético Nacional vs Millonarios: who wins? 627 verified humans answered. Crowd ran well above market on Atlético Nacional, draw was the leg both underweighted. And it landed.
How the crowd voted
Where the crowd split from the market
The crowd was more confident in Atlético Nacional than the betting price implied. That gap is the interesting part of this poll, and it went against the result.
What the crowd was thinking
A clear home-win vision: the crowd saw Atlético Nacional controlling the contest and taking all three points on their own turf.
A minority but firm conviction: Millonarios arriving as genuine road threats capable of leaving Medellín with the victory.
The least-backed vision: a tense, evenly matched contest where neither side could find a decisive breakthrough.
How well calibrated was the crowd?Brier score, conviction and full methodology1.19
0 is a perfect confident call, 0.25 a coin flip. Higher means the crowd leaned away from what happened.
The odds the crowd’s own split implied for its top pick. Shorter odds mean more conviction.
Ballots whose pick matched the result. Computed from the crowd’s own vote split — no betting market involved.
Crowd sentiment is shown only after a poll closes, never mid-vote. “Crowd called it” means the crowd’s top pick matched the result; it is not a claim the crowd is right in general. Aggregate data from World ID voters — a crowd view, not a prediction or advice.