Cerro Porteno vs Palmeiras: how does it end? 668 verified humans answered. Crowd above market on Palmeiras win, well below on the draw, a gap that met the outcome.
The crowd was more confident in Reg Time: Palmeiras than the betting price implied. That gap is the interesting part of this poll, and the crowd had it right.
A clear majority of the crowd envisioned Palmeiras controlling the tie and sealing it inside ninety minutes, making this the dominant collective vision by a wide margin.
A meaningful minority saw Cerro Porteno holding home advantage and finding a way to beat Palmeiras in regulation, a contrarian but not fringe read.
Only a small slice of the crowd pictured the sides level after ninety minutes, a scenario the crowd treated as far less likely than the market did.
0 is a perfect confident call, 0.25 a coin flip. Higher means the crowd leaned away from what happened.
The odds the crowd’s own split implied for its top pick. Shorter odds mean more conviction.
Ballots whose pick matched the result. Computed from the crowd’s own vote split — no betting market involved.
Crowd sentiment is shown only after a poll closes, never mid-vote. “Crowd called it” means the crowd’s top pick matched the result; it is not a claim the crowd is right in general. Aggregate data from World ID voters — a crowd view, not a prediction or advice.