The crowd called it — Real Sociedad won 2–3.
Elche vs Real Sociedad: how does it end? 713 verified humans answered. Crowd sits far above market on Real Sociedad win. The standout divergence in this poll.
How the crowd voted
Where the crowd split from the market
The crowd was more confident in Real Sociedad than the betting price implied. That gap is the interesting part of this poll, and the crowd had it right.
What the crowd was thinking
The crowd's dominant vision: Real Sociedad leave Elche with the points, a call made with striking collective conviction and well above the market's own assessment.
A small but distinct cluster of voters picture the match ending level, a shared stalemate scenario that the crowd rates only marginally above an Elche win.
The crowd's least favoured vision: Elche take the result at home, a scenario backed by only a thin slice of voters despite the market pricing it far more generously.
How well calibrated was the crowd?Brier score, conviction and full methodology0.09
0 is a perfect confident call, 0.25 a coin flip. Higher means the crowd leaned away from what happened.
The odds the crowd’s own split implied for its top pick. Shorter odds mean more conviction.
Ballots whose pick matched the result. Computed from the crowd’s own vote split — no betting market involved.
Crowd sentiment is shown only after a poll closes, never mid-vote. “Crowd called it” means the crowd’s top pick matched the result; it is not a claim the crowd is right in general. Aggregate data from World ID voters — a crowd view, not a prediction or advice.