All resolved pollsResolved · 24 AUG 2026Crowd & market agreed
Tigre vs Central Cordoba: how does it end?
Tigre 2–1 Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero)
The verdict

Tigre 2–1 Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero)

Tigre vs Central Cordoba: how does it end? 708 verified humans answered. Crowd well below market on Tigre, well above on Central Cordoba. The result sided with the crowd's top pick, not its.

46%Crowd on Tigre
62%Market price
-16Points of divergence

How the crowd voted

708 verified humans · one human, one vote
TigreWhat happened46%329 voters
Central Cordoba40%282 voters
Tie14%97 voters
Tigre won, so 46% of the crowd called it. The market had Tigre at 62%.

Where the crowd split from the market

Market depth: deep
Market
62%
46%
Crowd
-16 ppts

The crowd was less confident in Tigre than the betting price implied. That gap is the interesting part of this poll, and the crowd had it right.

The market price is a yardstick, not a recommendation. The crowd’s read is sentiment, not a prediction or financial advice.

What the crowd was thinking

Scenario 1Came true
46%329 voters
Tigre

The crowd's plurality vision: Tigre take the points at home, though with far less certainty than the market implied.

Scenario 2
40%282 voters
Central Cordoba

A striking crowd lean: nearly four in ten saw Central Cordoba leaving with the win, a read the market barely entertained.

Scenario 3
14%97 voters
Tie

A smaller but real slice of the crowd foresaw neither side breaking through, with the market pricing this scenario more likely than the crowd did.

How well calibrated was the crowd?Brier score, conviction and full methodology0.47
Brier score
0.47

0 is a perfect confident call, 0.25 a coin flip. Higher means the crowd leaned away from what happened.

Conviction
1-in-2

The odds the crowd’s own split implied for its top pick. Shorter odds mean more conviction.

Ballots correct
329 of 708

Ballots whose pick matched the result. Computed from the crowd’s own vote split — no betting market involved.

Crowd sentiment is shown only after a poll closes, never mid-vote. “Crowd called it” means the crowd’s top pick matched the result; it is not a claim the crowd is right in general. Aggregate data from World ID voters — a crowd view, not a prediction or advice.