The crowd backed Santos. Tie won 0–0.
Santos vs Palmeiras: how does it end? 712 verified humans answered. Crowd ran hard above market on Santos, and just as far below it on Tie, which is where the result landed.
How the crowd voted
Where the crowd split from the market
The crowd was more confident in Santos than the betting price implied. That gap is the interesting part of this poll, and it went against the result.
What the crowd was thinking
The crowd's plurality vision: Santos seize the moment at home, delivering a win the market considered far less likely than the crowd did.
A near-split vision: almost as many voters saw Palmeiras asserting their quality on the road and taking the points away from Santos.
A minority crowd vision: the sides cancel each other out and share the spoils, a scenario the crowd rated well below what the market implied.
How well calibrated was the crowd?Brier score, conviction and full methodology1.14
0 is a perfect confident call, 0.25 a coin flip. Higher means the crowd leaned away from what happened.
The odds the crowd’s own split implied for its top pick. Shorter odds mean more conviction.
Ballots whose pick matched the result. Computed from the crowd’s own vote split — no betting market involved.
Crowd sentiment is shown only after a poll closes, never mid-vote. “Crowd called it” means the crowd’s top pick matched the result; it is not a claim the crowd is right in general. Aggregate data from World ID voters — a crowd view, not a prediction or advice.