The crowd called it — Reg Time: Corinthians won 1–0.
Corinthians vs Rosario Central: how does it end? 667 verified humans answered. Crowd above market on Corinthians win, well below on the draw. The draw gap was the starker lean.
How the crowd voted
Where the crowd split from the market
The crowd was more confident in Reg Time: Corinthians than the betting price implied. That gap is the interesting part of this poll, and the crowd had it right.
What the crowd was thinking
A majority of the crowd saw Corinthians controlling the tie at home and sealing a regulation-time victory, making this the dominant vision across the joint map.
Roughly a third of the crowd backed Rosario Central to cause an upset and leave with a regulation-time win on the road.
A small minority envisioned neither side breaking the deadlock, with the match ending level after ninety minutes, a scenario the crowd found far less plausible than the market did.
How well calibrated was the crowd?Brier score, conviction and full methodology0.26
0 is a perfect confident call, 0.25 a coin flip. Higher means the crowd leaned away from what happened.
The odds the crowd’s own split implied for its top pick. Shorter odds mean more conviction.
Ballots whose pick matched the result. Computed from the crowd’s own vote split — no betting market involved.
Crowd sentiment is shown only after a poll closes, never mid-vote. “Crowd called it” means the crowd’s top pick matched the result; it is not a claim the crowd is right in general. Aggregate data from World ID voters — a crowd view, not a prediction or advice.