All resolved pollsResolved · 29 AUG 2026Crowd & market agreed
JuventusWon · Crowd had 81%2
Parma0
The verdict

The crowd called it — Juventus won 2–0.

Juventus vs Parma: how does it end? 707 verified humans answered. Crowd above market on Juventus, well below on draw. The gap that stood out most.

81%Crowd on Juventus
78%Market price
+3Points of divergence

How the crowd voted

707 verified humans · one human, one vote
JuventusWhat happened81%572 voters
Parma Calcio12%83 voters
Tie7%52 voters
Juventus won, so 81% of the crowd called it. The market had Juventus at 78%.

Where the crowd split from the market

Market depth: deep
Market
78%
81%
Crowd
+3 ppts

The crowd was more confident in Juventus than the betting price implied. That gap is the interesting part of this poll, and the crowd had it right.

The market price is a yardstick, not a recommendation. The crowd’s read is sentiment, not a prediction or financial advice.

What the crowd was thinking

Scenario 1Came true
81%572 voters
Juventus

The crowd's dominant vision: Juventus in control from the off, the home side asserting themselves and closing the match out without serious threat from Parma.

Scenario 2
12%83 voters
Parma Calcio

A minority vision of an upset, with Parma finding a way to silence the home crowd and take the points against the run of expectation.

Scenario 3
7%52 voters
Tie

The least-backed vision among the crowd: a stalemate where neither side could find a decisive moment, leaving the spoils shared.

How well calibrated was the crowd?Brier score, conviction and full methodology0.06
Brier score
0.06

0 is a perfect confident call, 0.25 a coin flip. Higher means the crowd leaned away from what happened.

Conviction
1-in-1

The odds the crowd’s own split implied for its top pick. Shorter odds mean more conviction.

Ballots correct
572 of 707

Ballots whose pick matched the result. Computed from the crowd’s own vote split — no betting market involved.

Crowd sentiment is shown only after a poll closes, never mid-vote. “Crowd called it” means the crowd’s top pick matched the result; it is not a claim the crowd is right in general. Aggregate data from World ID voters — a crowd view, not a prediction or advice.